Zhorik wrote:If the winners bracket player goes for a more conservative time allocation of 50-50 or 60-40, there is a good chance that the losers bracket player will be doing something similar, in which case the chance for the losers bracket player isn't that far from 25% as well.
The beauty of the winners' bracket player's tactic is exactly opposite, keep opponent guessing and therefore gain the advantage I pointed out in my analysis.
TJT wrote: (*)This obviously didn't count other variables that can skew the odds greatly, such as: If one just plays more, has more talent or having luck with game selection in the final.
Yes, but I had to prove that odds for winning the final are very different between "right"/"wrong" options for final, since you might have mislead someone to believe the odds are equalZhorik wrote: I agree that these variables will have a HUGE impact on the true probabilities and largely make this sort of mathematical analysis moot.
One shouldn't count on these variables evening out the odds: These excluded variables can work for winners' bracketeer as well...
I guess I've said all I have to say about final system now, thanks for listening.
Never tell me the odds! -Han Solo